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Greedy function approximation: A gradient boosting machine. (English) Zbl 1043.62034
Summary: Function estimation/approximation is viewed from the perspective of numerical optimization in function space, rather than parameter space. A connection is made between stagewise additive expansions and steepest-descent minimization. A general gradient descent “boosting” paradigm is developed for additive expansions based on any fitting criterion. Specific algorithms are presented for least-squares, least absolute deviation, and Huber-M loss functions for regression [P. Huber, Ann. Math. Stat. 35, 73–101 (1964; Zbl 0136.39805)], and multiclass logistic likelihood for classification. Special enhancements are derived for the particular case where the individual additive components are regression trees, and tools for interpreting such “TreeBoost” models are presented. Gradient boosting of regression trees produces competitive, highly robust, interpretable procedures for both regression and classification, especially appropriate for mining less than clean data. Connections between this approach and the boosting methods of Y. Freund and R. E. Shapire [see J. Comput. Syst. Sci. 55, 119–139 (1997; Zbl 0880.68103)] and J. Friedman, T. Hastie and R. Tibshirani [Ann. Stat. 28, 337–407 (2000; Zbl 1106.62323)] are discussed.

MSC:
62G08Nonparametric regression
62-07Data analysis (statistics)
65C60Computational problems in statistics
62K10Statistical block designs