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Recursive calculation of finite-time ruin probabilities. (English) Zbl 0629.62101

We develop a simple algorithm for the numerical calculation of finite- time ruin probabilities in a general discrete-time risk process model. These probabilities can be used for the calculation of approximations for the finite-time ruin probabilities in the classical actuarial risk model.

MSC:

62P05 Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics
65C99 Probabilistic methods, stochastic differential equations
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References:

[1] Bühlmann, H., Mathematical Methods in Risk Theory (1970), Springer: Springer Berlin · Zbl 0209.23302
[2] Panjer, H. H., Recursive evaluation of a family of compound distributions, ASTIN Bulletin, 12, 22-26 (1981)
[3] Wikstad, N., Exemplification of ruin probabilities, ASTIN Bulletin, 6, 147-152 (1971)
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