Bozdogan, Hamparsum Model selection and Akaike’s information criterion (AIC): The general theory and its analytical extensions. (English) Zbl 0627.62005 Psychometrika 52, 345-370 (1987). During the last fifteen years, Akaike’s entropy-based information criterion (AIC) has had a fundamental impact in statistical model evaluation problems. This paper studies the general theory of the AIC procedure and provides its analytical extensions in two ways without violating Akaike’s main principles. These extensions make AIC asymptotically consistent and penalize overparameterization more stringently to pick only the simplest of the “true” models. These selection criteria are called CAIC and CAICF. Asymptotic properties of AIC and its extensions are investigated, and empirical performances of these criteria are studied in choosing the correct degree of a polynomial model in two different Monto Carlo experiments under different conditions. Cited in 210 Documents MSC: 62B10 Statistical aspects of information-theoretic topics Keywords:model selection; Akaike’s entropy-based information criterion; AIC procedure; overparameterization; CAIC; CAICF; Asymptotic properties; empirical performances; polynomial model; Monto Carlo experiments PDF BibTeX XML Cite \textit{H. Bozdogan}, Psychometrika 52, 345--370 (1987; Zbl 0627.62005) Full Text: DOI OpenURL References: [1] Akaike, H. (1973). Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. In B. N. Petrov & B. F. Csaki (Eds.),Second International Symposium on Information Theory, (pp. 267–281). Academiai Kiado: Budapest. · Zbl 0283.62006 [2] Akaike, H. (1974). A new look at the statistical model identification.IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AC-19, 716–723. · Zbl 0314.62039 [3] Akaike, H. (1976). Canonical correlation analysis of time series and the use of an information criterion. In R. K. Mehra & D. G. 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