×

Delphic hierarchy process (DHP): A methodology for priority setting derived from the Delphi method and analytical hierarchy process. (English) Zbl 0652.90065

Identifying of criteria and objectives is of paramount importance to a decision-making process and is the basis for a sound decision. A systematic approach, therefore, is needed so that the objectives of the organization not only can be identified but also prioritized so that the resources will be allocated to the relative importance of the objectives and how well the alternatives satisfy them. The methodology proposed here uses the Delphi method and integrates it with the analytic hierarchy process. It assists the decision maker(s) to systematically identify the organizational objectives and then to set priorities among them. The application of the proposed model is illustrated by a case study.

MSC:

90B50 Management decision making, including multiple objectives
91B06 Decision theory

Software:

Expert Choice
PDFBibTeX XMLCite
Full Text: DOI

References:

[1] Arrow, K. J., Alternative approaches to the theory of choice in risk-taking situations, Econometrica, 19, 404-437 (1951) · Zbl 0044.15304
[2] Belaunde, F., The Concept of Peru by Peruvians, (Carreteria Bolivariana Marginal de la Selva (1959), Ministerio de Fomentoy Obras Publicas: Ministerio de Fomentoy Obras Publicas Peru)
[3] Dalkey, N. C., The Delphi method: An experimental study of group opinion, The RAND Corporation, Research Paper, RM-5888-PR (June, 1969)
[4] Edwards, A. L., Techniques of Attitude Scale Construction (1957), Appleton-Century-Crofts
[5] Forman, E., and Saaty, T.L., “Expert choice, decision support software”, A Software Package for Implementing the Analytic Hierarchy Process (available from DSS Inc., McClean, VA, USA).; Forman, E., and Saaty, T.L., “Expert choice, decision support software”, A Software Package for Implementing the Analytic Hierarchy Process (available from DSS Inc., McClean, VA, USA).
[6] Harker, P. T.; Vargas, L. G., The theory of ratio scale estimation: Saaty’s analytic hierarchy process, Management Science, 33, 1383-1403 (1987)
[7] Khorramshahgol, R.; Ignizio, J. P., Single and multiple decision making in a multiple objective environment, Advances in Management Studies, 3, 181-192 (1984)
[8] Khorramshahgol, R.; Gousty, Y., Delphic goal programming (DGP): A multi-objective cost benefit approach to R&D portfolio analysis, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 33, 172-175 (1986)
[9] Linstone, H. A.; Turoff, M., The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications, ((1975), Addison-Wesley: Addison-Wesley MA), 5
[10] Maddala, G. S., Econometrics (1977), McGraw-Hill: McGraw-Hill New York · Zbl 0385.62083
[11] Moustakis, V. S., The system cost analogy technique, DSc. dissertation, The George Washington University (May 1984)
[12] Moustakis, V. S., A model for decision support software evaluation, Research Paper, Institute for Artificial Intelligence, Department of Engineering Administration, George Washington University, Washington, DC 20051 (August 1984), (photographic copy available)
[13] Payne, S. L., The Art of Asking Questions (1973), Princeton University Press: Princeton University Press NJ
[14] Saaty, T. L., A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures, Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 15, 234-281 (1977) · Zbl 0372.62084
[15] Saaty, T. L., The Analytic Hierarchy Process (1980), McGraw-Hill: McGraw-Hill New York · Zbl 1176.90315
[16] Samuelson, P. A., Consumption theory in terms of revealed preference, Economica, 15, 243-253 (1948)
[17] Steiner, H. M.; Seminario, A., Economic aspects of the Bolivaro Highway in Peru, Engineering Economist, 14, 101-107 (1970)
[18] Steiner, H. M., Public and Private Investment: A Socioeconomic Analysis (1980), Wiley: Wiley New York
[19] Tippetts-Abbett-McCarthy-Stratton; Engineers and Architects, La Carreteria Marginal de la Selva (1965), Tippetts-Abbett-McCarthy-Stratton: Tippetts-Abbett-McCarthy-Stratton Comisión Conjunta de Ministros de Fomento y Obras Públicas de Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador y Perú, Lima, un informe presentado a la
[20] Zahedi, F., The analytic hierarchy process: A survey of the method and its applications, Interfaces, 16, 96-108 (1986)
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.