Dynamical behavior of a new epidemiological model. (English) Zbl 1406.92634

Wang, Zizi; Guo, Zhiming

J. Appl. Math. 2014, Article ID 854528, 9 p. (2014).

Summary: A new epidemiological model is introduced with nonlinear incidence, in which the infected disease may lose infectiousness and then evolves to a chronic noninfectious disease when the infected disease has not been cured for a certain time \(\tau\). The existence, uniqueness, and stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium are discussed. The basic reproductive number \(R_0\) is given. The model is studied in two cases: with and without time delay. For the model without time delay, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable provided that \(R_0\leq 1\); if \(R_0> 1\), then there exists a unique endemic equilibrium, and it is globally asymptotically stable. For the model with time delay, a sufficient condition is given to ensure that the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. Hopf bifurcation in endemic equilibrium with respect to the time \(\tau\) is also addressed.

MSC:

92D30	Epidemiology
92C60	Medical epidemiology