Patel, Lekha; Gustafsson, Nils; Lin, Yu; Ober, Raimund; Henriques, Ricardo; Cohen, Edward A hidden Markov model approach to characterizing the photo-switching behavior of fluorophores. (English) Zbl 1433.62330 Ann. Appl. Stat. 13, No. 3, 1397-1429 (2019). Summary: Fluorescing molecules (fluorophores) that stochastically switch between photon-emitting and dark states underpin some of the most celebrated advancements in super-resolution microscopy. While this stochastic behavior has been heavily exploited, full characterization of the underlying models can potentially drive forward further imaging methodologies. Under the assumption that fluorophores move between fluorescing and dark states as continuous time Markov processes, the goal is to use a sequence of images to select a model and estimate the transition rates. We use a hidden Markov model to relate the observed discrete time signal to the hidden continuous time process. With imaging involving several repeat exposures of the fluorophore, we show the observed signal depends on both the current and past states of the hidden process, producing emission probabilities that depend on the transition rate parameters to be estimated. To tackle this unusual coupling of the transition and emission probabilities, we conceive transmission (transition-emission) matrices that capture all dependencies of the model. We provide a scheme of computing these matrices and adapt the forward-backward algorithm to compute a likelihood which is readily optimized to provide rate estimates. When confronted with several model proposals, combining this procedure with the Bayesian Information Criterion provides accurate model selection. Cited in 3 Documents MSC: 62P30 Applications of statistics in engineering and industry; control charts 62M05 Markov processes: estimation; hidden Markov models 62H35 Image analysis in multivariate analysis Keywords:hidden Markov models; Markov processes; rate estimation; forward-backward algorithm; super-resolution microscopy Software:bootstrap PDF BibTeX XML Cite \textit{L. Patel} et al., Ann. Appl. Stat. 13, No. 3, 1397--1429 (2019; Zbl 1433.62330) Full Text: DOI Euclid OpenURL References: [1] Baum, L. E. and Eagon, J. A. (1967). An inequality with applications to statistical estimation for probabilistic functions of Markov processes and to a model for ecology. Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 73 360-363. · Zbl 0157.11101 [2] Baum, L. E. and Petrie, T. (1966). Statistical inference for probabilistic functions of finite state Markov chains. Ann. Math. Stat. 37 1554-1563. · Zbl 0144.40902 [3] Baum, L. E. and Sell, G. R. (1968). Growth transformations for functions on manifolds. Pacific J. 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