×

Bayesian bootstrap for proportional hazards models. (English) Zbl 1042.62030

Summary: We propose two Bayesian bootstrap extensions, the binomial and Poisson forms, for proportional hazards models. The binomial form Bayesian bootstrap is the limit of the posterior distribution with a beta process prior as the amount of the prior information vanishes, and thus can be considered as a default nonparametric Bayesian analysis. It is also the same as A. Y. Lo’s [ibid. 21, 100–123 (1993; Zbl 0787.62048)] Bayesian bootstrap for censored data when covariates are absent. The Poisson form Bayesian bootstrap is equivalent to the Bayesian analysis with Cox’s profile likelihood. When the baseline distribution is discrete, thus when the data set has many ties, a simulation study suggests that the binomial form Bayesian bootstrap performs better than standard frequentist procedures in the frequentist sense. An advantage of the proposed Bayesian bootstrap procedures over the standard Bayesian analysis is conceptual and computational simplicity. Finally, it is shown that both Bayesian bootstrap posteriors are asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator.

MSC:

62F40 Bootstrap, jackknife and other resampling methods
62F15 Bayesian inference
62P10 Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis
62N02 Estimation in survival analysis and censored data

Citations:

Zbl 0787.62048
Full Text: DOI

References:

[1] Andersen, P. K., Borgan, Ø., Gill, R. D. and Keiding, N. (1993). Statistical Models Based on Counting Processes . Springer, New York. · Zbl 0769.62061
[2] Choudhuri, N. (1998). Bayesian bootstrap credible sets for multidimensional mean functional. Ann. Statist. 26 2104–2127. · Zbl 0933.62035 · doi:10.1214/aos/1024691463
[3] Cox, D. R. (1972). Regression models and life tables (with discussion). J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 34 187–220. · Zbl 0243.62041
[4] Efron, B. (1979). Bootstrap methods: Another look at the jackknife. Ann. Statist. 7 1–26. JSTOR: · Zbl 0406.62024 · doi:10.1214/aos/1176344552
[5] Ferguson, T. S. (1973). A Bayesian analysis of some nonparametric problems. Ann. Statist. 1 209–230. · Zbl 0255.62037 · doi:10.1214/aos/1176342360
[6] Gasparini, M. (1995). Exact multivariate Bayesian bootstrap distributions of moments. Ann. Statist. 23 762–768. JSTOR: · Zbl 0838.62032 · doi:10.1214/aos/1176324620
[7] Gilks, W. R. and Wild, P. (1992). Adaptive rejection sampling for Gibbs sampling. Appl. Statist. 41 337–348. · Zbl 0825.62407 · doi:10.2307/2347565
[8] Hjort, N. L. (1990). Nonparametric Bayes estimators based on beta processes in models for life history data. Ann. Statist. 18 1259–1294. JSTOR: · Zbl 0711.62033 · doi:10.1214/aos/1176347749
[9] Jacobsen, M. (1989). Existence and unicity of MLEs in discrete exponential family distributions. Scand. J. Statist. 16 335–349. · Zbl 0684.62025
[10] James, L. F. (1997). A study of a class of weighted bootstraps for censored data. Ann. Statist. 25 1595–1621. · Zbl 0936.62051 · doi:10.1214/aos/1031594733
[11] Kalbfleisch, J. D. (1978). Nonparametric Bayesian analysis of survival time data. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 40 214–221. · Zbl 0387.62030
[12] Kalbfleisch, J. D. and Prentice, R. L. (1980). The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data . Wiley, New York. · Zbl 0504.62096
[13] Kim, Y. and Lee, J. (2001). On posterior consistency of survival models. Ann. Statist. 29 666–686. · Zbl 1012.62105 · doi:10.1214/aos/1009210685
[14] Laud, P. W., Damien, P. and Smith, A. F. M. (1998). Bayesian nonparametric and covariate analysis of failure time data. In Practical Nonparametric and Semiparametric Bayesian Statistics. Lecture Notes in Statist. 133 213–225. Springer, New York. · Zbl 0918.62077
[15] Lazar, N. A. (2000). Bayesian empirical likelihood. Technical Report 721, Dept. Statistics, Carnegie Mellon Univ. · Zbl 1034.62020
[16] Lo, A. Y. (1987). A large-sample study of the Bayesian bootstrap. Ann. Statist. 15 360–375. JSTOR: · Zbl 0617.62032 · doi:10.1214/aos/1176350271
[17] Lo, A. Y. (1988). A Bayesian bootstrap for a finite population. Ann. Statist. 16 1684–1695. JSTOR: · Zbl 0691.62005 · doi:10.1214/aos/1176351061
[18] Lo, A. Y. (1993). A Bayesian bootstrap for censored data. Ann. Statist. 21 100–123. JSTOR: · Zbl 0787.62048 · doi:10.1214/aos/1176349017
[19] Mason, D. M. and Newton, M. A. (1992). A rank statistics approach to the consistency of a general bootstrap. Ann. Statist. 20 1611–1624. JSTOR: · Zbl 0777.62045 · doi:10.1214/aos/1176348787
[20] Owen, A. B. (1990). Empirical likelihood ratio confidence regions. Ann. Statist. 18 90–120. JSTOR: · Zbl 0712.62040 · doi:10.1214/aos/1176347494
[21] Peto, R. (1972). Contribution to the discussion of “Regression models and life tables,” by D. R. Cox. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 34 205–207.
[22] Pollard, D. (1984). Convergence of Stochastic Processes . Springer, New York. · Zbl 0544.60045
[23] Præstgaard, J. and Wellner, J. A. (1993). Exchangeably weighted bootstraps of the general empirical process. Ann. Probab. 21 2053–2086. JSTOR: · Zbl 0792.62038 · doi:10.1214/aop/1176989011
[24] Prentice, R. L. and Gloeckler, L. A. (1978). Regression analysis of grouped survival data with application to breast cancer data. Biometrics 34 57–67. · Zbl 0405.62083 · doi:10.2307/2529588
[25] Rubin, D. B. (1981). The Bayesian bootstrap. Ann. Statist. 9 130–134. JSTOR:
[26] Sethuraman, J. (1961). Some limit theorems for joint distributions. Sankyhā Ser. A 23 379–386. · Zbl 0101.13002
[27] Tsiatis, A. A. (1981). A large sample study of Cox’s regression model. Ann. Statist. 9 93–108. JSTOR: · Zbl 0455.62019 · doi:10.1214/aos/1176345335
[28] Volinsky, T. C., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E. and Kronmal, R. A. (1996). Bayesian model averaging in proportional hazard models: Assessing stroke risk. Technical Report 302, Dept. Statistics, Univ. Washington. · Zbl 0903.62093
[29] Wellner, J. A. and Zhan, Y. (1996). Bootstrapping \(Z\)-estimators. Technical Report 308, Dept. Statistics, Univ. Washington.
[30] Weng, C.-S. (1989). On a second-order asymptotic property of the Bayesian bootstrap mean. Ann. Statist. 17 705–710. JSTOR: · Zbl 0672.62027 · doi:10.1214/aos/1176347136
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.