Objective Bayesian model selection in Gaussian graphical models. (English) Zbl 1170.62020

Summary: This paper presents a default model-selection procedure for Gaussian graphical models that involves two new developments. First, we develop a default version of the hyper-inverse Wishart prior for restricted covariance matrices, called the hyper-inverse Wishart \(g\)-prior, and show how it corresponds to the implied fractional prior for selecting a graph using fractional Bayes factors. Second, we apply a class of priors that automatically handles the problem of multiple hypothesis testing.
We demonstrate our methods on a variety of simulated examples, concluding with a real example analyzing covariation in mutual-fund returns. These studies reveal that the combined use of a multiplicity-correction prior on graphs and fractional Bayes factors for computing marginal likelihoods yields better performance than existing Bayesian methods.


62F15 Bayesian inference
05C90 Applications of graph theory
65C60 Computational problems in statistics (MSC2010)
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