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Optimal choice of the best available applicant in full-information models. (English) Zbl 1192.60067
The paper deals with a full-information best-choice problem with uncertain employment [see M. Tamaki, Oper. Res. 39, No. 2, 274–284 (1991; Zbl 0741.90090)] for the related models in no information best choice problem when the aim is to maximize the probability of the required selection. Two models are distinguished according to when the availability is checked.
Two models of the availability checking are considered: before (Model 1) or after (Model 2) an offer is made. For Model 1, the explicit expressions for the optimal stopping rule and the optimal probability for a given \(n\) are obtained. In this model, when \(n\rightarrow \infty \), the optimal probability becomes insensitive to the chance of availability and approaches \(0.580 164\). It is shown that the Planar Poisson Process (PPP) model provides more insight into this phenomenon. For Model 2, the author’s opinion is that by strong dependence of the hole history of the process in a complicated way the optimal stopping rule is impossible to get in closed form. A lower bound on the asymptotically optimal probability has been obtained via the PPP approach.
Similar difficulties appear in the two population secretary problem with classification before or after selection. The details can be found in the papers by M. Sakaguchi [Math. Jap. 35, No. 5, 917–934 (1990; Zbl 0709.62074); and ibid., No. 6, 1077–1088 (1990; Zbl 0735.62077)].

60G40 Stopping times; optimal stopping problems; gambling theory
62L15 Optimal stopping in statistics
60F05 Central limit and other weak theorems
90B80 Discrete location and assignment
90C39 Dynamic programming
90C40 Markov and semi-Markov decision processes
60G44 Martingales with continuous parameter
Full Text: DOI
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