On the de la Garza phenomenon. (English) Zbl 1202.62103

Summary: Deriving optimal designs for nonlinear models is, in general, challenging. One crucial step is to determine the number of support points needed. Current tools handle this on a case-by-case basis. Each combination of models, optimality criteria and objectives require their own proof. The celebrated A. de la Garza phenomenon [Ann. Math. Stat. 25, 123–130 (1954; Zbl 0055.13206)] states that under a \((p - 1)\) th-degree polynomial regression model, any optimal design can be based on at most \(p\) design points, the minimum number of support points such that all parameters are estimable. Does this conclusion also hold for nonlinear models? If the answer is yes, it would be relatively easy to derive any optimal design, analytically or numerically.
In this paper, a novel approach is developed to address this question. Using this new approach, it can be easily shown that the de la Garza phenomenon exists for many commonly studied nonlinear models, such as the Emax model, exponential model, three- and four-parameter log-linear models, Emax-PK1 model, as well as many classical polynomial regression models. The proposed approach unifies and extends many well-known results in the optimal design literature. It has four advantages over current tools: (i) it can be applied to many forms of nonlinear models; to continuous or discrete data; to data with homogeneous or nonhomogeneous errors; (ii) it can be applied to any design region; (iii) it can be applied to multiple-stage optimal design and (iv) it can be easily implemented.


62K05 Optimal statistical designs
62J02 General nonlinear regression


Zbl 0055.13206
Full Text: DOI arXiv


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