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**Discussion of: Statistical analysis of an archaeological find.**
*(English)*
Zbl 1282.62259

Concerns [A. Feuerverger, ibid. 2, No. 1, 3–54 (2008; Zbl 1137.62092)].

Summary: We critique the analysis by A. Feuerverger of an archaeological find that has been alleged by some to be the tomb of Jesus of Nazareth. We show that his analysis rests on six faulty assumptions that have been severely criticized by historians, archaeologists, and scholars in related disciplines. We summarize the results of an alternative computation using Bayes’ theorem that estimates a probability of less than 2% that the Talpiot tomb belongs to Jesus of Nazareth.

Summary: We critique the analysis by A. Feuerverger of an archaeological find that has been alleged by some to be the tomb of Jesus of Nazareth. We show that his analysis rests on six faulty assumptions that have been severely criticized by historians, archaeologists, and scholars in related disciplines. We summarize the results of an alternative computation using Bayes’ theorem that estimates a probability of less than 2% that the Talpiot tomb belongs to Jesus of Nazareth.

### Keywords:

Jesus of Nazareth; Talpiot tomb; Bayes’ theorem; statistical inference; distribution of names; onomasticon### Citations:

Zbl 1137.62092
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\textit{R. Ingermanson}, Ann. Appl. Stat. 2, No. 1, 84--90 (2008; Zbl 1282.62259)

### References:

[1] | Bauckham, R. (2007). Guest article on Chris Tilling’s blog on March 1, 2007. Available at, http://www.christilling.de/blog/2007/03/guest-post-by-richard-bauckham.html. |

[2] | Bovon, F. (2007). Article on the Society of Biblical Literature web site, posted March, 2007. Available at, http://sbl-site.org/Article.aspx?ArticleId=656. |

[3] | Fuchs, C. (2004). Democracy, literacy and names distribution in ancient Jerusalem-how many James/Jacob son of Joseph, brother of Jesus were there?, Polish J. Biblical Research 1-30. |

[4] | Ingermanson, R. (2008). Supplement to “Discussion of: Statistical analysis of an archeological find.” DOI:, 10.1214/08-AOAS99GSUPP. |

[5] | Jacobovici, S. and Pellegrino, C. (2007)., The Jesus Family Tomb . HarperOne, SanFrancisco. |

[6] | Magness, J. (2007). Article on the Society of Biblical Literature web site, posted March, 2007. Available at, http://sbl-site.org/Article.aspx?ArticleId=640. |

[7] | Pfann, S. (2007). Available at, http://www.uhl.ac/Lost_Tomb/HowDoYouSolveMaria/. |

[8] | Tabor, J. (2007). Article on the Society of Biblical Literature web site, posted March, 2007. Available at, http://sbl-site.org/Article.aspx?ArticleId=651. |

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