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The common ancestor type distribution of a \(\Lambda\)-Wright-Fisher process with selection and mutation. (English) Zbl 1346.60131

Summary: Using graphical methods based on a ‘lookdown’ and pruned version of the ancestral selection graph, we obtain a representation of the type distribution of the ancestor in a two-type Wright-Fisher population with mutation and selection, conditional on the overall type frequency in the old population. This extends results from [U. Lenz et al., Theor. Popul. Biol. 103, 27–37 (2015; Zbl 1342.92141)] to the case of heavy-tailed offspring, directed by a reproduction measure \(\Lambda\). The representation is in terms of the equilibrium tail probabilities of the line-counting process \(L\) of the graph. We identify a strong pathwise Siegmund dual of \(L\), and characterise the equilibrium tail probabilities of \(L\) in terms of hitting probabilities of the dual process.

MSC:

60J75 Jump processes (MSC2010)
92D15 Problems related to evolution
60C05 Combinatorial probability
05C80 Random graphs (graph-theoretic aspects)

Citations:

Zbl 1342.92141
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