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Statistical treatment choice: an application to active labor market programs. (English) Zbl 1469.62402

Summary: Choosing among a number of treatments the most suitable for a particular client is an issue of everyday concern. In this article two methodological advances for statistically assisted treatment choice are developed: First, it permits one to combine a dataset on previously treated clients with a dataset on new clients when the regressors available in these two datasets do not coincide. It thereby incorporates additional regressors on previously treated clients that are not available for the current clients. Such a situation often arises because of cost considerations, data confidentiality reasons, or time delays in data availability. Second, statistical inference on the recommended treatment choice is analyzed and conveyed to the agent or caseworker in a comprehensible and transparent way. The implementation of this methodology in a pilot study in Switzerland for choosing among active labor market programs for unemployed job seekers is described.

MSC:

62P20 Applications of statistics to economics
91B39 Labor markets
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